Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 63.117365 71.605038 80.299527 89.838217 99.976520 110.400278 121.897584
2025-11-30 51.081179 63.342396 76.481329 91.469840 107.965426 125.449789 145.270481
2025-12-07 43.964953 58.339888 74.263831 92.929454 113.951297 136.667733 162.854335
2025-12-14 37.129362 52.724056 70.565872 92.013182 116.670633 143.764665 175.441165
2025-12-21 31.119007 47.363239 66.554542 90.183406 117.867546 148.744280 185.289919
2025-12-28 28.806855 46.204443 67.250550 93.607244 124.892430 160.137721 202.194792
2026-01-04 26.090404 44.239222 66.739372 95.401667 129.860808 169.058857 216.195127
2026-01-11 22.700162 41.067749 64.483540 94.876321 131.919406 174.487453 226.087820
2026-01-18 19.761657 38.217679 62.413387 94.391940 133.873433 179.672291 235.596035
2026-01-25 17.570560 36.195767 61.251100 94.903870 136.921145 186.055552 246.424028
2026-02-01 15.185980 33.655646 59.233487 94.195318 138.370650 190.465674 254.881954
2026-02-08 13.320352 31.702234 57.868115 94.211276 140.624169 195.765441 264.328939
2026-02-15 11.287581 29.292159 55.762969 93.203120 141.585110 199.533054 272.020651
2026-02-22 10.145750 28.214265 55.452653 94.505101 145.409262 206.735873 283.780551
2026-03-01 9.190351 27.344139 55.370346 96.059119 149.514526 214.253987 295.898537
2026-03-08 7.701270 25.333452 53.501279 95.113293 150.369566 217.764627 303.193789
2026-03-15 6.186912 23.031062 51.045803 93.251580 149.960592 219.660093 308.496948
2026-03-22 5.969519 23.268447 52.459367 96.738817 156.474832 230.086008 324.082314
2026-03-29 5.434086 22.776806 52.702155 98.566355 160.814439 237.817721 336.414502
2026-04-05 4.511687 21.300944 51.309427 98.031351 162.020590 241.633537 343.984348
2026-04-12 3.708018 19.926511 49.990515 97.538060 163.235969 245.428532 351.504888
2026-04-19 3.153757 19.035321 49.405055 98.059408 165.768637 250.853642 361.000847
2026-04-26 2.497434 17.707558 48.004375 97.337815 166.602640 254.116790 367.833644